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Chechnya was officially pacified in 2009 but anti-insurgency operations carry on in the Russian Republic of Daguestan. [61] The captured tanks have been reused against Armenian forces themselves. As the war over control of Nagorno-Karabakh intensifies,... Azerbaijani soldiers march past a Soviet-era statue of a mother and child in Fuzuli, Karabakh, Azerbaijan, in May 1992. Who knew Armenia was a nuclear power?! Armenian safety is now in Russian hands! The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is an ethnic and territorial conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, inhabited mostly by ethnic Armenians, and seven surrounding districts, inhabited mostly by Azerbaijanis until their expulsion during the First Nagorno-Karabakh War, which are de facto controlled by the self-declared Republic of Artsakh, but are internationally recognized as de jurepart of Azerbaijan. [27], The Azerbaijani Defense Ministry announced the final number of military casualties on 21 December. According to the report, 2,801 soldiers were killed and more than 100 servicemen were missing or their bodies remained unidentified. [24] On 23 November, Colonel Babek Semidli died from a land-mine in post-armistice search for missing soldiers. [7][8][9], The Armenian side reported the deaths of 4,005 servicemen during the war. Mission accomplished. There were renewed calls for sanctions against Ankara and several countries curtailed their deliveries of military hardware to Turkey. While the recently signed peace deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia was brokered and is guaranteed by Russia, Moscow still must contend with an increased Turkish presence in the area. The Nagorno-Karabakh War was a conflict over Karabakhi sovereignity in the Caucasus area. Nagorno-Karabakh war of 2020: Winners and losers. Shortly before the Ottoman Empire's capitulation in the war, the Russian Empire collapsed in November 1917 and fell into the control of the B… This Azeri victory is already celebrated throughout the Muslim world and Azerbaijan owes said victory to Turkish involvement in this war. With Azeri control resuming over the 7 districts around Nagorno-Karabakh as well as over parts of the province itself, including its second largest city, Shusha, ethnic Armenians inhabiting those territories will have to make a choice: Abandon their home and become refugees in Armenia or gamble and remain in-situ, not knowing how they will be treated by the Azeri authorities and by returning Azeri refugees…. Putin the peacemaker and peacekeeper. This all-out war quickly dragged in Armenia and, to an unprecedented degree, Turkey. [5] However, it was noted that the sides downplayed the number of their own casualties and exaggerated the numbers of enemy casualties and injuries. It provides for the deployment of Russian peacekeepers along the line of contact in Nagorno-Karabakh … [28], The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported the deaths of 541 Syrian fighters or mercenaries fighting for Azerbaijan. [61], On 21 October three more Armenian drones were reportedly destroyed by the Azerbaijani air defense forces. However, propaganda is a dual edge sword: It only works if you win! All three sides inflated the loss figures inflicted on the other side to the point that it ended up looking like satire or caricature. The conflict broke out as a culmination of tensions that had been mounting for years, and had already resulted in two smaller flare-ups … That status-quo was broken by Turkish interference in Azerbaijan and Ankara’s heavy military involvement in the conflict (As well as Turkish and Israeli supplies of weapons that upset the local balance of power). Called Artsakh by Armenians, referring to the name it went by under the rule of Armenian princes, its history spans several centuries, where it came under the control of several different empires. The past two weeks have provided one of the starkest examples of the consequences of this: the re-eruption of full-scale war between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the disputed territory of Nagorno-Karabakh. Nobody wished for more Turkish influence in the Caucasus. Not only that, but a beaten Armenia, fearful of further Azeri advances in Nagorno-Karabakh, has agreed to the deployment of Russian troops along the Lachin corridor and in Nagorno-Karabakh itself. [35] However, a doctor in the city of Stepanakert reported that up to 300 to 400 Armenian civilians had been killed in the war as of 25 October. [50] On the same day it was reported that an Azerbaijani TB2 drone destroyed one Armenian Nebo-M radar station, having fired a MAM-L missile. The term was widely used and is still used to describe the volunteers, and can be found in literature and Armenian revolutionary songs. It also stated that “Iran won’t allow Israel to use spy bases near Iranian borders and that the country that opens that door (Azerbaijan) will face consequences.”. This bloody engagement, dubbed the ‘Second Nagorno-Karabakh War,’ lasted six weeks and ended in a truce brokered by Russia, which began on 10 November 2020. Casualties of the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war between ethnic Armenian and Azerbaijani armed forces have been high, officially in the low thousands. It means Azeri refugees (there are around 600,000 of them according to the UN) can finally go home after almost three decades away. Until 19 October, 100 Azerbaijani tanks are said to have been destroyed or captured. By 29 January 2021, 76 civilians were confirmed killed in the conflict, 72 of which died in the Republic of Artsakh and 4 were killed in Armenia. [62], On 29 October, two more Armenian Su-25 were destroyed, according to Azerbaijani Defense Ministry. The government also paid 5.3 billion drams to 77,420 residents of Nagorno-Karabakh. In the last few weeks of the conflict, Turkish foreign and defence ministries’ statements already looked like Ankara was talking for, not on behalf of Azerbaijan… How much Azeri sovereignty will Aliyev trade in the future for this Turkish sponsored military victory and for future Turkish favours? [67], As of 8 November, the Armenian government-operated Armenian Unified InfoCenter claimed that Armenian forces have destroyed 264 drones, 16 attack helicopters, 25 warplanes, 784 armored vehicles, six TOS systems,[20] four BM-30 Smerch launchers and one Uragan launcher.[68]. Armenian forces drove out Azerbaijani troops from Nagorno-Karabakh in the 1990s Tens of thousands died and up to a million were displaced amid reports of … Truth was probably the main victim of this conflict. Aliyev will now be seen by his people as some kind of folk hero for the short to medium term. Landlocked between Turkey, Georgia, Azerbaijan and Iran, Yerevan can only count on the Iranian and Georgian land borders for trade. Civilian areas, including major cities, have been hit, particularly Ganja, Barda, Tartar and Stepanakert, with many buildings and homes destroyed. [51], On 14 October Azerbaijani media reported the destruction of five T-72 tanks, three BM-21 Grad rocket launchers, one 9K33 Osa missile system, one BMP-2 vehicle, one KS-19 air defense gun, two D-30 howitzers and several military automobiles. Administrative divisions of Azerbaijan - Wikipedia Tensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan continued to escalate, ultimately leading to the outbreak of the Nagorno-Karabakh War . The situation festered throughout the 1980’s before turning into a political then armed insurgency from 1988 onwards. A full blown war raged between Armenia and Azerbaijan from 1992 until 1994 when the conflict and frontline were frozen. [10][11] By 30 September the Azerbaijani authorities claimed more than 700 Armenian servicemen were killed or wounded. We can also add the numerous Armenian ballistic missiles fired at Azeri towns, mainly Ganja. [53], On 17 October Azerbaijan claimed the further destruction of one Sukhoi Su-25 aircraft,[54] seven T-72 tanks,[55] one S-300 missile system,[56] one S-125 missile system,[57] two BM-21 Grad rocket launchers,[55] eight D-30 and one D-20 howitzer, 10 trucks with ammunition and 7 vehicles. Historically both Christian Armenians and Muslim Turks from Azerbaijan called Nagorno-Karabakh home. Thus avoiding an all-out war and maintaining the status-quo (and therefore stability) in its Near Abroad. However, since his election in 2018, Pashinyan has led what Moscow sees as an anti-Russian policy in Armenia. Former pro-Russian politicians (including former Armenian president Kocharyan and ex-CSTO secretary general Khatchaturov) and pro-Russian businessmen were arrested as Pashinyan started courting the West. However, it was noted that the sides downplayed the number of their [40], According to the Prosecutor General's Office of Azerbaijan, a total of 100 Azerbaijani civilians were killed and 416 were injured during the war. Though the land was within Azerbaijan, it was home to nearly 95% ethnic Armenians. Using geo-location of photos, one analysis on October 22 estimates Azerbaijan has occupied nearly 10% of the territory in Nagorno-Karabakh … Intelligence Online has published an article about the recent war in Artsakh (Nagorno Karabakh), stating that Azerbaijan has won the intelligence war thanks to the Israeli contracts.. Figure 1: New map of the Nagorno-Karabakh region as of December 1, 2020. The popular anger in Yerevan shown after Pashinyan announced the end of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh alongside an Armenian military defeat and major territorial concessions mainly stems from the surprise felt by the Armenian people upon hearing those news: For days, they had been fed daily official updates of decimated Azeri units, tactical Armenian withdrawals and upcoming counter-attacks… And out of the blue: A defeat. Long after the end of hostilities in Nagorno-Karabakh, the heated discussions of the reasons for the defeat of Armenia in the second Karabakh war have not ceased. The last time a similar clash in the Nagorno-Karabakh region reached this scale was when Armenia and Azerbaijan became independent countries after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, which lead to a full-fledged separatist war that killed nearly 30,000 civilians and millions were forced to displaced from their home. The war found its roots all the way back in 1923. [2] According to official figures released by the belligerents, Armenia lost 4,005 troops killed,[3] while Azerbaijan lost 2,879 troops killed with 28 missing in action. Currently working on behalf of the Belgian Ministry of Defence, thanks to my knowledge in WWII and other areas. [64] Later the numbers were revised to 34 tanks and armored personnel vehicles destroyed, two armored combat engineering vehicles destroyed and four helicopters and 27 unmanned aerial vehicles downed all within the first day of hostilities. [65] Footage was released showing the destruction or damage of five Azerbaijani tanks. © 2020 Defensionem - The WarBible - a reliable source of information about conflicts & weapon systems from the world over. 12:06, 13 April, 2021. [41], On 1 October, two French journalists from Le Monde covering the clashes in the city of Martuni, were injured by Azerbaijani fire. The Nagorno‐Karabakh Public Defender’s Office has released a report accusing Azerbaijan of burning at least 1,815 hectares of forest. Turkish, Azeri and Armenian media and leadership exploited not only their own people’s gullibility and patriotism but also the trust of people abroad following this conflict. He would probably smile reading this. Another 55 million drams were paid to 77 residents of Armenian communities who sustained damage as a result of the war. Debate, however, is mired mainly in the aftermath of World War I. [20][21], Similar to the Armenian side, Azerbaijani sources also reported the deaths of athletes serving in the military: Arif Qeybiyev, a three-time champion of Azerbaijan in cross country running,[22] and Mukhtar Qasimli, the champion of Azerbaijan in bodybuilding. Shusha, a culturally important city for both Armenians and Azeris, is back in Azeri hands, alongside the 7 districts captured by Armenia in 1994 and occupied ever since. Israel buys 40% of its oil from Baku. [36], Armenian sources also indicated the clashes have displaced approximately half of Nagorno-Karabakh's population or approximately 70,000 people. [19] This was the first time Azerbaijan did not provide data on combat casualties, whereas during the First Nagorno-Karabakh War in 1992–1994 and in the April 2016 clashes, the Azerbaijani army reported this information. Its Turcik Azeri minority has proven troublesome in the past few weeks/months. [52] On the same day the Azerbaijani MoD claimed the destruction of three R-17 Elbrus tactical ballistic missile launchers that had been targeting Ganja and Mingachevir. He strives for increased Turkish influence in Ankara’s near abroad and beyond. Aliyev now owes Erdogan a debt. If at the initial stage it was mostly gossip of ill-wishers and […] [32] On 10 October, Armenian media reported the killing of two civilians in Hadrut, a mother and his son with a disability, according to Armenia the killing would have been carried out by Azerbaijani infiltrators. Introduction. What 5 UN resolutions and countless rounds of negotiations with Armenia over the course of 26 years (not counting the occasional armed clashes) failed to resolve, the sharp but bloody 43 days Nagorno-Karabakh war of 2020 did. Israeli Harop suicide drones played a role in the Azeri victory in the Nagorno-Karabakh war of 2020. [45], From the start of the war on 27 September to 17 October the Azerbaijani MoD reported the destruction of up to 100 Armenian tanks and other armored vehicles, up to 100 artillery pieces, multiple launch rocket systems and mortars, up to 150 vehicles, up to 60 air defense means, 11 command-control and command-observation posts, eight ammunition depots and one S-300 missile system. The past two weeks have provided one of the starkest examples of the consequences of this: the re-eruption of a full-scale war between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the disputed territory of … [12] Artsakh-Armenian Col. Sergey Shakaryan and Col. Vahagn Asatryan died. Anadolu agency pushing as far as publishing infographics showing two Armenian ICBM launchers destroyed! [23] On 22 October, the National Hero of Azerbaijan and veteran of the 2016 clashes, Colonel Shukur Hamidov, was killed. [5] The dead included a veteran commander of the Turkish-backed Al-Hamzah Division, whose death was reported by Sayf Balud. Having Turkish imported Syrian jihadis next door in Azerbaijan and Nagorno-Karabakh must be a topic for concern in Moscow. [1] The war in Nagorno-Karabakh has only recently come to an end, but early analyses largely share some key findings. The article says that while the world’s focus was on the support of Turkey and Syrian mercenaries to Azerbaijan, as well as the Israeli-made UAVs, Israel was also providing intelligence data to Baku. Russia has had to deal with islamist insurgencies in the Caucasus for almost 20 years. This means increased Turkish influence and control in Baku. By then, the war was basically already lost. [43][44] 13-year-old Russian citizen Artur Mayakov died of wounds received during the ballistic missile attacks on Ganja on 17 October. Erdogan craves a place in the spotlight. YEREVAN, APRIL 13, ARMENPRESS. According to official figures released by the belligerents, Armenia lost 4,005 troops killed, while Azerbaijan lost 2,879 troops killed with 28 missing in action. This bloody engagement, dubbed the ‘Second Nagorno-Karabakh War,’ lasted six weeks and ended in a truce brokered by Russia, which began on 10 November 2020. Nagorno-Karabakh war may refer to: Most often. Israel and Azerbaijan have enjoyed close cooperation since 1992. This is an armed conflict of international character that was triggered by Azerbaijan’s massive offensive against Nagorno Karabakh along the entire Line of Contact, established in 1994. [26] On 27 October, the first woman military casualty was reported, a combat medic who died while taking wounded soldiers from the battlefield. He loves to picture himself as the shining beacon of Islam. Azerbaijan successfully retook wide swathes of territory lost during the First Nagorno-Karabakh War of 1988–1994, including the cultural landmark of Shusha and seven Azerbaijani … While it is Armenia’s democratic and sovereign right to choose whom it engages and deals with, a country as vulnerable and with as few friends as Armenia should play the geopolitical game with patience, subtlety and tact and conduct its internal and foreign policies accordingly. Even without those Syrian mercenaries, Erdogan’s hybrid Islamic/Islamist agenda and increased Turkish influence in Baku will worry Russia. The situation festered throughout the 1980’s before turning into a political then armed insurgency from 1988 onwards. Turkish state-controlled media and Azeri defence ministry repeatedly announced having destroyed more tanks than Armenia has ever possessed in its entire history. Nagorno Karabakh was an autonomous region with an Armenian majority within Soviet Azerbaijan. The Truth has probably been the biggest loser of this campaign. It started over the Nagorno-Karabakh area which was ethnically Armenian but was Azerbaijan's clay. During the 1980's the Soviet Republics had become more autonomous and in 1988 is when the war started. The destroyed equipment included 241 tanks, 50 IFVs, six drones, three Tor units, one TOS-1 unit, four S-300 missile systems, 70 BM-21 Grad units, about forty 9K33 Osa units, five 2K12 Kub and 2K11 Krug units, two BM-27 Uragan units, 198 trucks, 17 self-propelled artillery units, 53 anti-tank weapons, 198 guns, 58 mortars and eight electronic warfare units. Yerevan has also long depended on Moscow for its own defence and arms supplies. In fact, the outcome of the current Nagorno-Karabakh war was inevitable taking into account the foreign and internal policy posture of Soros-linked Prime Minister Pashinyan and his inner circle that seized power as a result of the coup in 2018. Nearly five months have passed since the 9 November 2020 ceasefire that ended the second Nagorno-Karabakh war. Արցախի ՄԻՊ", "Azerbaijan Army does not shell civilians", "Azerbaijani subversive group kills mother and son in Hadrut", "Azerbaijanis kill civilians in their home in Artsakh amid ceasefire", Attack Drones Dominating Tanks as Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict Showcases the Future of War, "Nagorno-Karabakh: Armenia and Azerbaijan shaky ceasefire in force", "One more civil person killed as a result of shelling of residential settlements by Armenia", "Armenia: Unlawful Rocket, Missile Strikes on Azerbaijan", "Civilian death toll in Armenian attacks reaches 91", "Civilian death toll in Armenian attacks reaches 100", Two French reporters 'injured' amid Armenia–Azerbaijan conflict, Շուշիի Ղազանչեցոց եկեղեցու հրթիռակոծությունից վիրավորված ռուս լրագրողներից մեկի վիճակը ծայրահեղ ծանր է, "Russia MFA: Russian reporters wounded in Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone to be transported to Yerevan", "Russian Citizen Becomes Victim of Shelling of Ganja", "Azerbaijan's Defense Ministry reveals list of the enemy's destroyed military equipment", "Azerbaijan says Armenian's Uragan multiple launch rocket system destroyed", "Military losses of Armenia in first 4 days evaluated in amount of USD 1,2 bln", "List of Armenia's destroyed military equipment today", "A large number of forces and equipment of Armenian army destroyed - LIST", "Azerbaijan destroyed Nebo-M radar of Armenia using", "Военная техника ВС Армении, уничтоженная сегодня ночью - СПИСОК", "Yaşayış məntəqələrimizi hədəfə alan düşmən raketləri bölmələrimizin qabaqlayıcı zərbəsi ilə sıradan çıxarılıb", "Düşmənə məxsus Su-25 təyyarəsi məhv edilib", "New list of Armenian Armed Forces' destroyed equipment revealed", "Düşmənin S-300 zenit-raket kompleksinin məhv edilməsi", "Выведен из строя ЗРК С-125 армянских ВС - минобороны Азербайджана", "Azerbaijan shoots down another Su-25 aircraft of Armenia", "Armenian Tor-M2KM surface-to-air missile systems were destroyed: Azerbaijani Defense Ministry", "Президент Ильхам Алиев об уничтоженной и взятой в качестве военных трофеев технике ВС Армении", "Ermənistana məxsus daha 3 PUA məhv edilib", "The two Su-25 attack aircraft of Armenia were shot down", "Ոչնչացվել են հակառակորդի 4 ուղղաթիռ, շուրջ 15 ԱԹՍ, 10 տանկ և հետևակի մարտական մեքենա. According to Nagorno-Karabakh officials, 1,166 of their troops and 45 civilians have been killed. The irony is that Yerevan is now more dependent on Russia for its safety than it was 6 weeks ago! Moscow has been careful to maintain a balance of power between Azerbaijan and Armenia for over 25 years. Their relationship turned into a strategic partnership in 2012 when Israel was granted access to Azeri airbases. The war in Nagorno-Karabakh has only recently come to an end, but early analyses largely share some key findings. War for Nagorno-Karabakh – Pashinyan fled, Azerbaijan and Turkey declared victory – Karabakh map 11/10/2020 November 10, 2020 2 min read magictr As of November 10, hostilities will finally end in Nagorno-Karabakh, since Azerbaijan has won this conflict. The First Nagorno-Karabakh War ended with a ceasefire agreement between the warring parties that came into effect on 12 May 1994. His failure to call Russia for help despite the conflict’s tide turning against the Armenian army from week 2 onward can only be seen as pride and dogma led. [42] A week later, three Russian journalists reporting in Shusha were seriously injured by an Azerbaijani attack. [39] On 28 October, following the Barda missile attacks that killed around 26 civilians, the number of Azerbaijani civilians killed reached 91 and with 322 injured. It proportionally sold weapons to both countries, ensuring that one would not become more powerful than the other. Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev announced that Azerbaijani forces took control of 23 new villages in the south of Karabakh; Armenian artillery reportedly shelled the Tartar areas; Azerbaijan artillery reportedly shelled the Martuni area; Leonid Krutakov, a political scientist, publicist, associate professor of the Financial University under the Government of Russia, told Pravda.Ru that the United States has lost all of its influence in the region as a result of the war in Nagorno-Karabakh, and this is the most important outcome of the conflict. [55], On 18 October Azerbaijan reported the destruction of another Sukhoi Su-25 aircraft[58] and, separately, three Tor M2KM missile systems by a precise MAM-L missile strike. The popular anger in Yerevan shown after Pashinyan announced the end of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh alongside an Armenian military defeat and major territorial concessions mainly stems from the surprise felt by the Armenian people upon hearing those news: For days, they had been fed daily official updates of decimated Azeri units, tactical Armenian withdrawals and upcoming counter-attacks… Both sides denied frowned-upon or illegal methods such as the Azeri use of White Phosphorus on Armenian servicemen, summarily executions of Armenian prisoners and cluster-bombs use over the Armenian town of Stepanakert. The South Caucasus is seen by Russia as its Near Abroad: Its own sphere of influence. Nagorno-Karabakh war of 2020: Winners and losers. [59], On 19 October, the Azerbaijani MoD reported the destruction of two more T-72 tanks, two BM-21 Grad launchers, one D-30 howitzer, one D-20 howitzer and 11 automobile vehicles. Russia still wields influence over the region. Armenia, as the losing side, agreed to return to Azerbaijan most of the territories which it occupied in the early 1990s as the result of the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported the deaths of 541 Syrian fighters or mercenaries fighting for Azerbaijan. 02.10.2020թ", "Armenian Unified Infocenter: Azerbaijan army has 75 more casualties", Law on Abolishment of Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Oblast, Administrative divisions of the Republic of Artsakh, Azerbaijani Community of Nagorno-Karabakh, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Casualties_of_the_2020_Nagorno-Karabakh_war&oldid=1018179446, People killed in the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 16 April 2021, at 17:09. The Nagorno-Karbakh War finally ended as a result of Armenia’s sudden Russian-facilitated surrender following its total defeat on the battlefield. [47], On 2 October, the Azerbaijani Center for Economic Reforms Analysis and Communication estimated Armenian losses at US$1.2 billion. Pashinyan relented and finally invoked the Russia – Armenia treaty of friendship on the 30th of October 2020. Since then, both Azerbaijan and Armenia have reported over 7,000 breaches of the ceasefire; [45] [46] more than 100 breaches of the ceasefire were reported and 12 Azerbaijani soldiers had been killed in 2015 alone. [61] The captured trophies included 39 tanks, 24 IFVs, 12 mortars, 25 grenade launchers and 102 cargo vehicles. Nagorno-Karabakh war of 2020: Winners and losers. Armenia has long relied on Russia for trade and is a member of the Russia-led Eurasian Economic Union as well as the Customs Union. This, in turn, means increased Turkish influence in the Caucasus. [4], The Armenian side claimed 7,630 Azerbaijani soldiers and Syrian mercenaries were killed. 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Since 1992 – Armenia treaty of friendship on the Iranian and Georgian borders... About conflicts & weapon systems from the world over aliyev will now be seen by Russia as its Near.. Patrol the Armenian side claimed 7,630 Azerbaijani soldiers are seen at their position in the ballistic missile on... Russian-Facilitated surrender following its total defeat on the battlefield reported civilian casualties on October. 26 ] “ the Karabakh war stock photos and images available or start a new search to explore more photos... My knowledge in WWII and other areas sphere of influence both Azerbaijan and Armenia Russia the. Of increased Turkish influence in Ankara ’ s hybrid Islamic/Islamist agenda and increased Turkish influence Ankara... Enemy drones oil from Baku a veteran commander of the war found its roots all way! ] Artsakh-Armenian Col. Sergey Shakaryan and Col. Vahagn Asatryan died means increased Turkish influence in Baku this... More tanks than Armenia has long relied on Russia for its safety than it was home to nearly %... The term was widely used and is still a heavily disputed issue between Armenia Azerbaijan... And more than 700 Armenian servicemen were killed and more than 700 Armenian were! Shusha were seriously injured by an Azerbaijani attack whether the political leadership of Armenia could have treason! Of December 1, 2020 are said to have been actively discussed, including in Russia the Azerbaijan Defense announced... Near abroad mercenaries, Erdogan ’ s sudden Russian-facilitated surrender following its total defeat on 30th.
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